Tonight's Outlook Updated 2 min ago
HIGH
Probability
58% aurora probability at your location
Arcticlyn Score /100
Reykjavík, Iceland · 64.14° N, −21.94° W
Forecast window · Next 72 hours
Live · NOAA SWPC + DSCOVR
Optimal Viewing Window 22:45 02:30 3h 45m of peak visibility tonight
Peak Kp 5.0 G1 storm level expected
Ovation % Aurora probability
Sky Context Clear-sky window confirmed 12% cloud · −3°C · low moon
Forecast Summary
Tonight's Outlook

Conditions tonight from Reykjavík are highly favorable. A G1 geomagnetic storm is forecast, with Kp expected to reach 5.0 — strong enough to produce auroras visible to the naked eye across all of Iceland. Solar wind speed is elevated and the Bz component is turning southward, coupling energy directly into Earth's magnetosphere.

Your optimal window opens at 22:45 and extends to 02:30 — 3h 45m of peak visibility. Cloud cover is minimal at 12%, temperatures around −3°C, and the waxing crescent moon (34% illuminated) leaves the sky dark all night. Head out after 22:30 and face north.

[ 01–10 ]

Live Instrumentation

03OVATION Probability
Live
Hemispheric power42 GW
View likelihoodHigh
Model run22:40 UTC
Confidence±8%
01Kp · Obs vs Next 3h
Observed
Next 3h
05Solar Wind
DSCOVR · L1
Bz
Speed
Density
06Bt · IMF
Live
Total IMF field strength
02Kp Index · 3-Day Forecast
3-hourly
NOW+24H+48H+72H
07Cloud Cover · Next 24h
2-hourly
08Darkness Window
09Moon Tonight
Low illumination means darker skies and better aurora contrast.
10Solar Flares · 24h
GOES X-ray
A–B quiet C moderate M–X strong
Explore all guides  →

Beyond the Data

All guides  →
Aurora over Iceland
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Destinations
The 5 Best Countries
for Aurora Hunting
Iceland, Norway, Finland, Canada, Greenland — ranked by aurora frequency, accessibility and sky darkness. Which one is right for your guests?
Read guide →
How to Read
the Kp Index

The Kp index measures global geomagnetic activity on a scale from 0 to 9. A Kp of 5 means a G1 storm — auroras visible at 60°N. At Kp 7 (G3), the lights can reach central Europe.

Kp 1–2Faint glow visible only from high latitudes on very dark nights.
Kp 3–4Clear bands of green. Visible to the naked eye from Iceland.
Kp 5–6G1–G2 storm. Active, dancing curtains. Best for photography.
Kp 7–9Rare. Red and violet hues. Visible from Spain and Texas.
Learn more →
Camera pointed at aurora
03 / 04
Photography
Camera Settings
for Northern Lights
ISO 1600–3200 · f/2.8 or wider · 10–20s shutter. Start here and adjust for Kp and lens speed.
Full guide →
Arctic landscape
04 / 04
Planning
Aurora Season:
When to Book
The equinox windows (Sep–Oct and Feb–Mar) produce the highest Kp activity. Here's why — and what it means for your trip.
Read guide →